June 23, 2014
Predicting the Weather Took Some Special Know-How
Once upon a time there were people known as weather men, whose job it was to analyze data and provide their very, best educated guess as to what we could expect the weather outcome to be in the coming day or two.
These old time forecasters used as their tools data collected from weather balloons (you know, those things you'd often see floating in the sky and excitedly mistake for a U.F.O.), barometric pressure readings and weather reporters. And their best instincts.
The weatherman who was on television when I was growing up used large maps of the United States to illustrate and diagram the weather patterns from all over the country. Where inclement weather was likely, he'd slap a dark cloud with drizzling rain drops onto the map. Likewise, a bright yellow smiling sun would grace other areas that were to be clear and sunny.
Criss-crossing the country were always odd looking lines with either half circles or triangles attached to them. These were depictions of the areas of high and low pressure of course.
You couldn't help but learn something when you watched the weatherman on television.
Back then weather predicting was done by looking up at the sky, analyzing cloud formations, barometric pressure, and weather conditions. Human input was a big part of it all and of course, so was human error.
My favorite weatherman, Ken Hirsch of KELO-Land in Sioux Falls fame, used to go so far as to rate the day's weather on a scale of 1 to 10. A "ten" day was nearly perfect and of course, were rarities in these parts.
These days weather forecasting has bounded into the computer technological era and the "weatherman" has been replaced by "meteorologists". And there are plenty of women forecasters out there as well.
Weather people now use computer-based models to tell us how to dress for tomorrow's weather. Forecasters rely upon the "most likely" weather outcomes and they confidently report their findings on their broadcasts.
What's more, there's a whole bevy of experts who make it their life's mission to monitor and report on anything and everything weather related on a 24-hour basis. I will admit that when the weather turns inclement, I generally tune them all out and rely on old fashioned instincts: turn your eye to the sky and ear to the ground. It allays any unnecessary undue fretting on my part I suppose.
But even with all of this technological wonder, the forecasters can still be wrong. It happens now and then as we all know. I can't help but miss those weather maps of yesterday with Mr. Sunshine beaming happily over the area, or the dour looking Rain Cloud with drenching water drops falling out of it. And the real, live person in front of that map, telling us, to the best of their ability, just what to expect the weather to be like tomorrow.
That said I guess I'll check the Intellicast weather app on my smart phone and see what to expect in the way of weather for the next, say, four weeks. I've got plans to make after all and need to know exactly what the weather is going to be doing during that time.